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Jan 19

Best bets for college football weekend

Meanwhile, Gus Malzahn can start off his Auburn coaching career 3-0. ET, ESPN2

I think Alabama will win this game something like 31-27. I’m predicting a deep Freeze for Texas.

3. (Granted, one of those teams was Kentucky). Remember, Vandy almost pulled off the upset in last year’s season opener. It’s 1620 on Comcast. This is way too many points for the Commodores to be giving up to South Carolina. ET, FOX

8. The Longhorns won’t play that poorly again, but Ole Miss is much better offensively than BYU is. Alabama at Texas A&M, 3:30 p.m. The defensive team speed is bad — and will doubtless be exposed — but Tennessee has one of the top offensive lines in the country. Start off with us on “FOX College Saturday” from 10 a.m. But the Cardinals beat only two teams by more than 10 points last year. ET, CBS

10. Even with Mo Couch suspended on the defensive line, Tennessee has some decent weapons up front defensively. First, Outkick told you that Louisville’s schedule is so weak that 26 different teams would be favored in every game. Can he make many? I doubt it. .

The game that Tennessee fans will be watching while peeking through their fingers. Not great, but not that bad either.

9. But it wouldn’t surprise me at all if Johnny Manziel makes a play or two to swing this in the other direction. ET, ESPN

It’s worth keeping an eye on this one. Wisconsin at Arizona State, 10:30 p.m. You might as well get used to typing in our station.

Mississippi State is not a good football team. Tennessee at Oregon, 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

OK, here’s my viewer guide:

So without further ado, let’s see if I can make you guys some money again this week.

Even if most of y’all will be unable to watch this game on the Longhorn Network.

I expect South Carolina to win this game, but I think Vandy will keep it close.

I’m going to admit something to y’all: This game terrifies me.

We really don’t know much about either of these teams. Ole Miss at Texas, 8 p.m. Oregon will stack the line and dare Justin Worley to make plays. This is a massive game for Bulldogs coach Dan Mullen. This is one of several 7 p.m. Both are equally likely.

Let’s roll, you degenerates.

In Gus Malzahn I trust.

This will be the win that makes Hugh Freeze a household name among college football fans.

Can y’all finish strong? Come on, I’m up at 4:30 a.m. The Commodores’ defense struggled with Ole Miss’s offense, but South Carolina doesn’t do anything fancy.

You guys can start talking Twitter trash to me early if Louisville immediately jumps out to a three-touchdown lead.

War Eagle.

Tennessee’s not great, but the Vols aren’t awful either. (The Vols were 30-point underdogs at Florida in the first year of the Lane Kiffin era).

Because Vegas believes that the Louisville story is a bit of a myth. Mississippi State at Auburn, 7 p.m. I’m taking Kentucky plus two touchdowns.

7. games to be keeping tabs on.

That’s just too many points, I think.

We had a little bit of a bounce-back performance last week with the picks, tallying a 4-2 record — including nailing all three big games. ET, ESPN

I’ve also included my viewer guide so that you can follow along with me all day long watching games.

But at -28?

I don’t think Cal will pull off the upset, but should the Buckeyes be a little bit nervous about this trip? I think so.

Hugh Freeze had to be delirious with joy when he watched that Texas defense against BYU. . They also lost to really bad/mediocre Syracuse and UConn teams.

Ninety-five percent of all the money is on Louisville, and we’ve finally settled at two touchdowns.

6. In the game of the year, A&M’s the bet.

. Second, look at Louisville’s 2012 schedule. Nothing more needs to be said.

Nebraska will either win by three or lose by 30. Vandy at South Carolina, 7 p.m. UCLA at Nebraska, noon ET, ABC

This is the second-best game of the day, and most of us will struggle to find m888 it on television.

And if I’m wrong on this, you guys can call me a complete and total idiot. Toss in injuries for Texas on offense, and I really think Ole Miss could not just win this game but own it.

I would have taken Oregon at -20, where this line opened.

That’s why I think the Vols cover even though Oregon wins by double digits.

This week I’m going with the five biggest SEC games and then, to me, the second-best game of the weekend, which is Ole Miss at Texas.

Nearly two touchdowns is too many points here.

1. Yes, they put a whipping on Florida, which really launched Louisville as a “top 10 team” story. That puts us at 8-6 through the first two weeks of the season. Getting A&M plus a touchdown is just too good to pass up here. Doubt me? Ask Northwestern.

Ole Miss at Texas -3

I think Ole Miss wins this game outright, and I thought this even before Texas went out and looked awful against BYU.

This is the second-largest line in the history of Tennessee football. Louisville at Kentucky, noon ET, ESPN

So, drum roll . (Which happens every day anyway on Twitter, but still, I’ll deserve it for not picking Louisville to destroy a bad Kentucky team.)

Vanderbilt at South Carolina -13.5

4. I tend to think Ole Miss and Vandy are both good teams, and I think we’ll find that out this weekend.

5. Can you guys finish the night off with me? This is a huge game for both teams and both conferences here.

I told you, I think this game will be closer than expected. But can he avoid complete disaster? I think so.

Tennessee at Oregon -28

Why is this line hanging here?

It’s hard to know which game will be the best.

Louisville -14 at Kentucky

You all have FS1. ET, Longhorn Network

I believe that Louisville’s dominance is a bit of a myth.

Alabama -7.5 at Texas A&M

The game of the year. PT, and I’ll last through all these games. Can Butch Jones keep it respectable, or is Oregon intent on sending a message that they can run up the score on SEC teams, too?

Mississippi State at Auburn -6

I can’t wait to see what’s going to happen here. to 12 p.m. ET.

I tweeted about the opening line early Sunday morning, Louisville -7.5, and by the time I landed back in Nashville, Tenn., the line had moved all the way to Louisville -13.5.

If the rape trial and investigation weren’t hanging over Vandy’s football team, this would be my upset pick of the week. Auburn isn’t a good football team yet, but I think by the time November rolls around they will be good.

2. Ohio State at California, 7 p.m

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